mean std median 5.0% 95.0% n_eff r_hat D0 1.88 1.23 1.58 0.17 3.57 1299.26 1.00 E0 3.91 4.07 2.56 0.02 8.91 110.56 1.02 H0 1.17 1.22 0.75 0.00 2.83 1438.92 1.00 I0 1.66 1.64 1.16 0.00 3.81 86.34 1.02 beta0 2.11 0.48 2.01 1.43 2.78 7.39 1.24 confirmed_dispersion 0.41 0.06 0.41 0.32 0.50 1191.75 1.00 death_dispersion 0.10 0.00 0.10 0.10 0.10 1285.43 1.00 death_prob 0.03 0.00 0.03 0.03 0.03 1256.27 1.00 death_rate 0.10 0.02 0.10 0.07 0.12 748.12 1.00 det_prob0 0.30 0.07 0.30 0.20 0.41 1544.49 1.00 det_prob_d 0.90 0.03 0.90 0.85 0.95 1202.47 1.00 gamma 0.50 0.02 0.50 0.48 0.53 1321.19 1.00 rw[0] 0.12 0.96 0.12 -1.48 1.72 387.91 1.01 rw[1] 0.22 1.34 0.21 -1.90 2.36 168.61 1.02 rw[2] 0.39 1.57 0.40 -1.87 3.20 84.30 1.03 rw[3] 0.62 1.74 0.63 -2.21 3.44 64.05 1.05 rw[4] 0.88 1.85 0.86 -2.17 3.82 39.80 1.05 rw[5] 1.11 1.97 1.17 -1.94 4.28 29.30 1.08 rw[6] 1.28 2.13 1.31 -2.49 4.60 24.24 1.09 rw[7] 1.39 2.22 1.39 -1.79 5.54 23.25 1.10 rw[8] 1.44 2.29 1.38 -2.28 4.97 19.96 1.10 rw[9] 1.31 2.31 1.37 -2.28 5.04 15.91 1.12 rw[10] 1.03 2.38 1.02 -2.81 4.77 12.77 1.16 rw[11] 0.57 2.45 0.72 -2.94 4.98 11.94 1.16 rw[12] 0.02 2.49 0.19 -4.00 4.00 11.22 1.17 rw[13] -0.63 2.52 -0.47 -4.58 3.42 11.78 1.16 rw[14] -1.45 2.53 -1.34 -5.32 2.72 11.28 1.16 rw[15] -2.34 2.52 -2.30 -6.00 2.09 11.26 1.16 rw[16] -3.28 2.54 -3.08 -7.75 0.49 10.68 1.16 rw[17] -4.26 2.52 -4.06 -8.41 -0.10 10.70 1.16 rw[18] -5.28 2.54 -5.12 -9.34 -1.04 9.85 1.17 rw[19] -6.30 2.51 -6.13 -10.20 -2.21 9.10 1.18 rw[20] -7.25 2.46 -7.22 -11.09 -3.28 9.38 1.18 rw[21] -8.19 2.46 -8.24 -12.21 -4.12 9.61 1.16 rw[22] -9.06 2.46 -9.04 -12.58 -4.49 9.45 1.16 rw[23] -9.78 2.44 -9.73 -13.99 -5.91 9.53 1.18 rw[24] -10.53 2.49 -10.35 -14.70 -6.73 9.62 1.18 rw[25] -11.06 2.45 -10.88 -15.52 -7.46 9.57 1.18 rw[26] -11.55 2.46 -11.42 -15.48 -7.71 9.60 1.19 rw[27] -11.96 2.48 -11.74 -15.92 -7.98 9.77 1.18 rw[28] -12.29 2.50 -12.14 -16.46 -8.56 9.47 1.19 rw[29] -12.46 2.50 -12.26 -16.21 -8.34 9.46 1.18 rw[30] -12.65 2.50 -12.41 -16.81 -8.69 9.79 1.18 rw[31] -12.79 2.49 -12.66 -16.95 -9.06 9.82 1.18 rw[32] -12.86 2.51 -12.78 -16.85 -8.85 9.54 1.17 rw[33] -12.87 2.55 -12.74 -17.18 -8.97 9.15 1.17 rw[34] -12.91 2.52 -12.69 -16.75 -8.69 9.02 1.17 rw[35] -12.97 2.52 -12.90 -16.83 -8.55 8.73 1.19 rw[36] -13.08 2.52 -12.92 -17.07 -8.70 9.24 1.18 rw[37] -13.24 2.47 -13.02 -17.30 -9.20 9.80 1.16 rw[38] -13.36 2.47 -13.15 -17.44 -9.22 10.28 1.16 rw[39] -13.49 2.50 -13.38 -17.59 -9.38 10.37 1.17 rw[40] -13.61 2.51 -13.33 -17.38 -9.32 10.47 1.17 rw[41] -13.78 2.49 -13.64 -17.35 -9.38 10.43 1.17 rw[42] -13.96 2.49 -13.88 -17.76 -9.80 10.93 1.16 rw[43] -14.15 2.45 -14.04 -17.97 -10.09 10.66 1.18 rw[44] -14.34 2.48 -14.18 -19.01 -10.91 10.54 1.18 rw[45] -14.59 2.55 -14.43 -18.55 -10.40 10.84 1.18 rw[46] -14.79 2.56 -14.71 -19.02 -10.74 10.99 1.17 rw[47] -15.02 2.54 -14.96 -18.80 -10.62 11.01 1.16 rw[48] -15.17 2.56 -15.10 -19.35 -11.19 10.64 1.16 rw[49] -15.28 2.56 -15.18 -19.54 -11.37 10.85 1.17 rw[50] -15.39 2.53 -15.21 -19.65 -11.46 11.18 1.16 rw[51] -15.42 2.59 -15.24 -19.24 -10.87 10.09 1.17 rw[52] -15.52 2.62 -15.32 -19.91 -11.57 10.12 1.17 rw[53] -15.56 2.61 -15.37 -20.30 -11.82 10.02 1.17 rw[54] -15.53 2.55 -15.41 -19.72 -11.50 9.74 1.15 rw[55] -15.50 2.52 -15.42 -19.69 -11.51 9.75 1.15 rw[56] -15.48 2.54 -15.34 -19.63 -11.40 10.30 1.14 rw[57] -15.42 2.52 -15.32 -19.14 -11.00 10.24 1.14 rw[58] -15.39 2.52 -15.22 -19.10 -11.11 10.27 1.15 rw[59] -15.34 2.49 -15.17 -19.38 -11.50 10.09 1.16 rw[60] -15.32 2.50 -15.19 -19.06 -11.22 10.55 1.16 rw[61] -15.28 2.51 -15.17 -19.79 -11.84 9.92 1.17 rw[62] -15.33 2.48 -15.17 -19.34 -11.48 10.51 1.17 rw[63] -15.36 2.50 -15.19 -19.18 -11.22 9.93 1.17 rw[64] -15.36 2.48 -15.18 -19.24 -11.24 9.42 1.20 rw[65] -15.43 2.49 -15.29 -18.96 -10.84 9.59 1.20 rw[66] -15.51 2.51 -15.35 -19.38 -11.11 9.53 1.19 rw[67] -15.60 2.54 -15.47 -19.32 -11.09 9.23 1.19 rw[68] -15.69 2.54 -15.47 -19.65 -11.52 10.01 1.18 rw[69] -15.82 2.52 -15.62 -20.23 -11.92 10.20 1.17 rw[70] -15.93 2.52 -15.70 -20.10 -11.78 10.30 1.16 rw[71] -16.04 2.55 -15.87 -20.21 -11.87 9.94 1.17 rw[72] -16.18 2.54 -15.90 -20.39 -12.03 9.50 1.19 rw[73] -16.28 2.55 -16.04 -20.13 -11.63 9.70 1.19 rw[74] -16.37 2.56 -16.17 -20.66 -12.36 9.97 1.19 rw[75] -16.44 2.56 -16.34 -20.84 -12.56 10.19 1.18 rw[76] -16.59 2.51 -16.40 -20.65 -12.61 10.80 1.17 rw[77] -16.68 2.53 -16.56 -20.87 -12.69 11.20 1.16 rw[78] -16.76 2.47 -16.62 -20.81 -12.70 10.98 1.17 rw[79] -16.79 2.48 -16.58 -20.95 -13.10 11.40 1.17 rw[80] -16.86 2.52 -16.77 -20.72 -12.68 11.57 1.17 rw[81] -16.92 2.52 -16.80 -20.78 -12.59 11.72 1.17 rw[82] -16.92 2.55 -16.71 -21.11 -12.79 11.66 1.17 rw[83] -16.87 2.60 -16.71 -21.16 -12.75 12.19 1.15 rw[84] -16.92 2.66 -16.77 -20.91 -12.42 12.48 1.14 rw[85] -16.93 2.69 -16.85 -21.20 -12.42 12.74 1.15 rw[86] -16.90 2.67 -16.76 -21.42 -12.65 11.73 1.15 rw[87] -16.82 2.61 -16.74 -20.62 -12.21 11.34 1.16 rw[88] -16.75 2.62 -16.64 -21.22 -12.79 10.98 1.16 rw[89] -16.65 2.62 -16.52 -20.85 -12.35 10.62 1.17 rw[90] -16.48 2.62 -16.38 -20.29 -11.88 10.38 1.16 rw[91] -16.32 2.63 -16.23 -20.15 -11.79 10.08 1.15 rw[92] -16.18 2.64 -16.02 -20.61 -12.13 10.36 1.15 rw[93] -15.98 2.66 -15.86 -20.30 -11.72 10.56 1.14 rw[94] -15.76 2.69 -15.52 -19.99 -11.32 10.33 1.15 rw[95] -15.51 2.65 -15.33 -20.05 -11.44 10.79 1.14 rw[96] -15.21 2.63 -15.01 -19.12 -10.68 10.61 1.14 rw[97] -14.99 2.62 -14.79 -19.07 -10.82 9.96 1.15 rw[98] -14.77 2.59 -14.55 -19.31 -10.87 10.37 1.15 rw[99] -14.49 2.54 -14.41 -18.84 -10.54 10.99 1.14 rw[100] -14.28 2.53 -14.06 -18.55 -10.33 11.30 1.13 rw[101] -14.01 2.53 -13.85 -17.90 -9.72 10.90 1.13 rw[102] -13.68 2.51 -13.61 -17.63 -9.50 11.21 1.13 rw[103] -13.40 2.51 -13.32 -17.36 -9.28 11.19 1.13 rw[104] -13.15 2.48 -13.02 -17.42 -9.60 10.43 1.15 rw[105] -12.92 2.48 -12.85 -16.94 -8.80 9.95 1.16 rw[106] -12.67 2.48 -12.59 -16.44 -8.46 10.00 1.17 rw[107] -12.51 2.46 -12.44 -16.44 -8.54 9.86 1.18 rw[108] -12.38 2.47 -12.14 -16.65 -8.52 9.91 1.18 rw[109] -12.35 2.45 -12.09 -16.34 -8.38 10.22 1.19 rw[110] -12.29 2.44 -12.05 -16.09 -7.99 10.58 1.17 rw[111] -12.23 2.47 -11.96 -16.51 -8.48 10.72 1.18 rw[112] -12.19 2.53 -11.91 -16.53 -8.39 10.90 1.17 rw[113] -12.14 2.55 -11.95 -16.30 -8.06 11.01 1.17 rw[114] -12.16 2.56 -11.94 -16.19 -7.98 10.89 1.16 rw[115] -12.18 2.53 -12.03 -16.37 -8.24 10.64 1.17 rw[116] -12.20 2.53 -12.04 -16.45 -8.23 10.40 1.17 rw[117] -12.18 2.50 -12.03 -16.02 -7.88 10.28 1.17 rw[118] -12.16 2.45 -12.00 -15.80 -7.92 10.25 1.17 rw[119] -12.17 2.43 -12.08 -15.98 -8.20 10.14 1.18 rw[120] -12.15 2.47 -12.05 -16.04 -8.10 9.81 1.20 rw[121] -12.14 2.47 -12.06 -16.00 -8.04 9.80 1.19 rw[122] -12.09 2.45 -11.84 -16.17 -8.35 9.75 1.18 rw[123] -12.13 2.42 -11.98 -16.06 -8.12 9.93 1.18 rw[124] -12.12 2.45 -12.02 -16.42 -8.31 10.01 1.16 rw[125] -12.11 2.45 -11.98 -16.34 -8.23 10.67 1.15 rw[126] -12.16 2.50 -12.03 -16.16 -8.04 10.23 1.14 rw[127] -12.23 2.50 -12.19 -15.83 -7.75 9.97 1.16 rw[128] -12.27 2.52 -12.14 -15.86 -7.88 10.12 1.15 rw[129] -12.33 2.48 -12.25 -16.08 -8.12 9.65 1.16 rw[130] -12.51 2.48 -12.36 -16.03 -8.24 9.36 1.17 rw[131] -12.64 2.47 -12.48 -16.42 -8.61 9.09 1.18 rw[132] -12.85 2.46 -12.64 -16.40 -8.46 9.30 1.18 rw[133] -13.14 2.48 -12.90 -17.36 -9.38 9.75 1.18 rw[134] -13.41 2.43 -13.26 -17.13 -9.46 9.41 1.19 rw[135] -13.64 2.44 -13.47 -17.42 -9.64 9.58 1.19 rw[136] -13.90 2.46 -13.59 -17.99 -10.11 9.38 1.20 rw[137] -14.12 2.45 -13.87 -18.30 -10.24 9.31 1.19 rw[138] -14.36 2.49 -14.12 -17.72 -9.83 9.64 1.20 rw[139] -14.59 2.50 -14.39 -18.61 -10.69 9.36 1.20 rw[140] -14.74 2.49 -14.60 -18.58 -10.72 9.47 1.19 rw[141] -14.86 2.51 -14.68 -18.70 -10.73 9.94 1.18 rw[142] -14.99 2.53 -14.77 -18.75 -10.80 10.00 1.18 rw[143] -15.09 2.50 -14.90 -18.69 -10.80 9.82 1.18 rw[144] -15.07 2.50 -14.84 -18.76 -10.83 10.38 1.16 rw[145] -15.04 2.51 -14.83 -18.90 -10.83 10.22 1.17 rw[146] -14.95 2.53 -14.72 -18.78 -10.76 10.57 1.16 rw[147] -14.88 2.56 -14.73 -19.16 -10.82 10.57 1.16 rw[148] -14.74 2.56 -14.43 -18.97 -10.63 9.59 1.19 rw[149] -14.65 2.52 -14.43 -18.98 -10.81 9.44 1.18 rw[150] -14.51 2.51 -14.42 -18.35 -10.29 9.87 1.17 rw[151] -14.37 2.51 -14.23 -17.90 -9.68 9.46 1.18 rw[152] -14.29 2.54 -14.13 -18.56 -10.33 9.70 1.17 rw[153] -14.22 2.49 -14.03 -18.23 -10.01 9.86 1.17 rw[154] -14.10 2.53 -13.98 -18.30 -10.10 9.38 1.18 rw[155] -14.09 2.53 -14.00 -17.84 -9.67 9.76 1.17 rw[156] -14.05 2.61 -13.96 -18.24 -9.87 9.77 1.17 rw[157] -14.06 2.55 -14.00 -17.72 -9.48 9.58 1.18 rw[158] -14.03 2.50 -13.91 -17.78 -9.76 10.03 1.16 rw[159] -14.05 2.48 -13.97 -17.75 -9.55 10.85 1.15 rw[160] -14.07 2.48 -13.97 -17.89 -9.67 10.86 1.15 rw[161] -14.10 2.48 -13.94 -18.16 -10.23 11.75 1.14 rw[162] -14.10 2.49 -13.88 -17.66 -9.56 11.07 1.16 rw[163] -14.19 2.50 -13.99 -18.13 -9.78 11.00 1.14 rw[164] -14.26 2.52 -14.08 -18.59 -10.14 10.88 1.15 rw[165] -14.33 2.47 -14.15 -18.19 -10.08 10.68 1.15 rw[166] -14.44 2.45 -14.31 -18.28 -10.30 10.86 1.16 rw[167] -14.54 2.52 -14.37 -18.25 -10.20 10.89 1.15 rw[168] -14.64 2.48 -14.54 -18.54 -10.44 10.71 1.16 rw[169] -14.78 2.43 -14.62 -18.52 -10.60 10.97 1.16 rw[170] -14.87 2.52 -14.66 -19.00 -11.03 10.43 1.18 rw[171] -14.95 2.52 -14.70 -19.20 -11.24 9.94 1.19 rw[172] -15.00 2.55 -14.86 -19.27 -11.12 9.94 1.18 rw[173] -15.06 2.55 -14.82 -18.92 -10.80 9.78 1.18 rw[174] -15.12 2.53 -14.90 -19.04 -11.07 9.42 1.19 rw[175] -15.21 2.53 -15.02 -19.37 -11.13 9.47 1.19 rw[176] -15.24 2.56 -15.08 -19.07 -10.82 9.73 1.17 rw[177] -15.30 2.55 -15.13 -19.45 -11.00 10.01 1.16 rw[178] -15.33 2.53 -15.22 -19.73 -11.37 10.09 1.16 rw[179] -15.27 2.48 -15.11 -19.49 -11.37 9.76 1.18 rw[180] -15.26 2.49 -15.10 -19.65 -11.54 10.57 1.16 rw[181] -15.22 2.52 -15.02 -19.60 -11.42 10.50 1.16 rw[182] -15.18 2.50 -14.95 -19.26 -11.21 10.57 1.16 rw[183] -15.12 2.53 -14.90 -19.07 -11.05 10.42 1.15 rw[184] -15.04 2.52 -14.94 -18.78 -10.70 10.10 1.17 rw[185] -14.91 2.49 -14.91 -18.80 -10.75 10.01 1.18 rw[186] -14.64 2.49 -14.52 -18.19 -10.35 9.85 1.19 rw[187] -14.39 2.40 -14.33 -18.04 -10.40 9.02 1.21 rw[188] -14.10 2.42 -13.99 -17.96 -10.15 8.83 1.21 rw[189] -13.73 2.43 -13.49 -17.62 -9.77 8.99 1.20 rw[190] -13.39 2.42 -13.19 -17.14 -9.46 9.14 1.19 rw[191] -12.93 2.36 -12.76 -16.15 -8.63 8.76 1.21 rw[192] -12.44 2.21 -12.26 -15.79 -8.68 7.83 1.22 sigma 0.25 0.01 0.25 0.24 0.26 920.77 1.00 Number of divergences: 0